ArcPro might be a lot more appropriate. It assumes VOA but it's also single phase and simply uses multipliers to estimate other cases. Also IEEE 1584 if I recall correctly only has test data up to around 12.5 kV so they are extrapolating out to 15 kV.
One inherent problem with what you describe though is arc propagation. See this video of what it typically looks like:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TAm0Vd5WS8UIf the arc occurs at say the bushings on top of a pole mounted apparatus (recloser, transformer, etc.) then IEEE 1584 applies. But in the middle of a line or simply working on pin insulators and the like, there's nothing anchoring the arc to that location. The arc is magnetically propelled down the line usually at very high speed as the above video shows. Research at JHU gave an arc propagation speed of about 400 to 600 feet per second. So you'd have to be I guess in a bucket or climbing a pole on a dead end and standing opposite the dead end for HOA to ever apply for overhead lines. I could see some cases of bus bars and substation apparatus where this would come into play but again even in tubular busbar open air arrangements this is going to be rare compared to indoor/enclosed horizontal configurations. It's only at the apparatus that the major concerns should ensue, and in those conditions VOA certainly applies since you're dealing with jumpers connected at or near the dead end arrangements or mid-span with saddles or line clamps. So you may want to re-evaluate your risk assessment first before moving on to hazard assessment which will most likely land you squarely in a VOA arrangement as the most appropriate model.
Also it seems odd that the differences between the old and new model are that dramatically different, almost 20% higher. Are you sure all the assumptions are the same? As a guess probably the biggest driver in the calculated value is going to be the gap distance.